So I figured out what's up with the marigod world event
This being added to the page with a vague description made me look into it more and I think I've figured this out. It's ridiculously convoluted, but the important part is that it's not a random chance atall.
So, if you enter the maiden outlook the first time it's always daytime; seeing the maidens head fall off sets 0529 to 1
2nd time, seeing it sets it to 2 and then waits 5.2 seconds
once it's 2 it becomes possible to access the area at sunset, and when the maiden's head falls off in the sunset area you can hear the noise of crows cawing in the distance.
If 0529 is not yet set to 3, you'll hear the crows in a descending tone like they're getting further away (caw.. caw.. caw..) and then the game will wait 1.5 seconds while fading out very slowly. after this it sets var0529 to 3, which is what's important because that's the requisite for marigod world to take you back there.
Once you revisit the outlook at 3, there's like a 4/12 chance for it to be night time where the head's flying around, and going there at night sets it to 4 which disables the marigod world event. If it's already 3 or greater you'll only hear 2 crows at sunset, in an ascending tone (caw caaaaw)
So - TLDR; once you've seen the geisha at night you it locks you out of the event. It only happens when entering marigod world after hearing the 3 crow sounds in the sunset event. Seems it's a one-time thing, and you cant do it ever again afterwards.
Also at 3/4 the chances for the night event to happen become more and more likely, making the Day/sunset variations less likely. 4/12 at 3 and a massive 16/24 at 4
LainIwakura (talk) 21:48, June 21, 2017 (UTC)